Model Predictions
| Model | UMass Minutemen | Richmond Spiders | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 76.3% | 23.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 67.0% | 33.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 74.2% | 25.8% | -5.8 | ✓ (1.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 60.8% | 39.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 83.1% | 16.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 83.2% | 16.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 63.5% | 36.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Richmond Spiders -4 (74-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UMass Minutemen
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G. Forbes | 37 | 5-15 | 0-5 | 7-7 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 17 | 9 | - |
| R. Harris | 35 | 9-13 | 5-7 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 24 | 14 | - |
| E. Brower | 31 | 5-6 | 5-6 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 19 | - |
| C. Lowe | 29 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 3 | - |
| D. Milligan | 21 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 12 | - |
| T. Gaffney | 16 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - |
| M. Glass | 14 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| G. Correia | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| L. Bonner | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
Richmond Spiders
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Anderson | 37 | 5-13 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 9 | - |
| D. Gonzalvez | 36 | 7-12 | 3-6 | 3-3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 12 | - |
| D. Geriot | 33 | 5-15 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 3 | - |
| R. Butler | 25 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 9 | - |
| O. Sylla | 20 | 4-6 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 9 | - |
| K. Smith | 18 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | - |
| G. Moliva | 18 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 9 | - |
| J. Giddings | 6 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| K. Hovde | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Harper | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter