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2008-03-01

Model Predictions

Model Air Force Falcons BYU Cougars Spread Result
Elo 0.6% 99.4% -
Bradley-Terry 8.0% 92.0% -
Margin 2.3% 97.7% +20.7 (1.7 off)
Pythagorean 27.4% 72.6% -
Efficiency 17.8% 82.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 6.6% 93.4% -
Log Adjusted 6.7% 93.3% -

Actual: BYU Cougars +19 (76-57). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Air Force Falcons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
E. Washington 38 3-9 1-2 2-2 3 2 1 0 0 9 6 -
A. Johnson 31 1-3 0-0 3-6 4 0 0 0 4 5 2 -
T. Anderson 30 4-13 0-2 1-2 3 0 4 0 1 9 2 -
A. Henke 29 3-11 0-3 8-10 8 3 0 0 3 14 11 -
E. Kenzik 18 1-3 0-0 2-2 5 1 1 0 0 4 8 -
P. Brown 13 2-4 0-1 2-2 4 0 0 3 0 6 9 -
M. Holland 12 1-4 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 -2 -
D. Brooks 11 1-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -
K. Maren 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -
A. Hood 9 1-5 0-1 4-4 2 1 1 0 2 6 3 -

BYU Cougars

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
L. Cummard 29 2-6 1-1 5-6 8 3 1 3 1 10 18 -
T. Plaisted 26 7-11 0-0 6-9 3 1 0 0 5 20 8 -
B. Murdock 26 1-5 1-3 0-0 2 4 1 1 1 3 5 -
J. Fredette 24 4-6 2-2 0-0 3 1 1 0 1 10 8 -
J. Tavernari 23 4-8 2-4 2-2 3 3 1 1 0 12 12 -
C. Collinsworth 20 1-5 0-2 0-0 7 2 0 1 0 2 7 -
S. Burgess 19 3-3 3-3 0-0 5 2 1 0 2 9 12 -
C. Miles 11 2-3 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 4 3 -
M. Loyd Jr. 11 2-3 2-3 0-0 3 3 0 0 2 6 7 -
A. Rose 6 0-1 0-1 0-1 1 1 0 0 1 0 0 -
N. Martineau 5 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -

* = starter