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2008-03-01

Model Predictions

Model Dartmouth Big Green Columbia Lions Spread Result
Elo 22.0% 78.0% -
Bradley-Terry 33.3% 66.7% -
Margin 25.8% 74.2% +5.8 (20.8 off)
Pythagorean 29.3% 70.7% -
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 28.1% 71.9% -
Log Adjusted 28.4% 71.6% -

Actual: Columbia Lions -15 (48-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Dartmouth Big Green

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Barnett 38 6-10 1-3 6-6 7 1 1 1 4 19 15 -
D. Mosley 30 1-7 1-6 1-2 2 0 0 0 2 4 -3 -
E. Fitzgerald 26 5-10 0-1 0-0 1 0 1 0 3 10 -1 -
M. Giovacchini 19 2-5 1-3 2-2 3 0 0 0 0 7 5 -
K. Graeber 17 3-5 0-0 2-4 7 0 1 1 1 8 11 -
J. Ball 17 1-3 0-0 2-2 3 2 2 0 1 4 7 -
C. Weeden 13 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 2 2 -
R. Dixon 11 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 2 0 0 2 2 -
R. Pride 10 0-1 0-0 0-0 4 1 1 0 0 0 5 -
M. Sanders 10 3-3 0-0 1-2 2 1 0 0 0 7 7 -
B. Ware 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 2 0 0 1 0 1 -

Columbia Lions

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Baumann 37 6-12 0-2 5-7 4 1 1 0 4 17 7 -
M. Montgomery 29 4-7 1-4 2-2 4 1 0 0 0 11 9 -
B. Loscalzo 28 1-3 1-3 0-0 1 2 1 0 0 3 4 -
K.J. Matsui 27 2-5 2-5 0-0 0 0 1 0 2 6 0 -
N. Scott 25 0-8 0-3 1-2 2 2 1 0 0 1 -2 -
B. Nwachukwu 18 2-5 0-0 1-2 2 1 0 0 1 5 2 -
A. Ampim 13 1-4 0-1 1-2 4 2 0 0 0 3 5 -
K. Bulger 11 0-3 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 0 -4 -
K. Sweet 9 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 3 2 -1 -
J. Miller 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 0 -1 -
Z. Crimmins 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter