Model Predictions
| Model | Duke Blue Devils | NC State Wolfpack | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 81.7% | 18.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 66.3% | 33.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 72.0% | 28.0% | -5.2 | ✓ (4.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 76.4% | 23.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 96.1% | 3.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 91.6% | 8.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 91.6% | 8.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: NC State Wolfpack -1 (86-87). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Scheyer | 34 | 4-8 | 3-5 | 8-8 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 16 | - |
| G. Paulus | 30 | 5-11 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 9 | - |
| G. Henderson | 30 | 2-9 | 1-4 | 7-8 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 11 | - |
| K. Singler | 28 | 4-13 | 0-4 | 4-4 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 8 | - |
| D. Nelson | 27 | 4-7 | 3-4 | 8-9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 12 | - |
| L. Thomas | 17 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-3 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - |
| T. King | 12 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 3-5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| N. Smith | 10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| B. Zoubek | 8 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| D. McClure | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
NC State Wolfpack
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Gonzalez | 32 | 6-7 | 4-4 | 2-4 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 13 | - |
| G. Grant | 24 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 12 | - |
| B. McCauley | 23 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 12 | - |
| B. Costner | 22 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | - |
| T. Smith | 22 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 13 | - |
| T. Ferguson | 22 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 5 | - |
| C. Fells | 21 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 6-6 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 11 | - |
| J. Hickson | 18 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 8 | - |
| D. Horner | 9 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | - |
| M. Johnson | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter