Model Predictions
| Model | Northern Colorado Bears | Montana State Bobcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 25.7% | 74.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 46.9% | 53.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 42.7% | 57.3% | +1.6 | ✗ (13.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.0% | 55.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 36.8% | 63.2% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 36.9% | 63.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Montana State Bobcats -12 (79-91). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Northern Colorado Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Palacios | 33 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 9 | - |
| J. Banks | 31 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 7 | - |
| N. Kingman | 28 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 9-10 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 14 | - |
| T. Anderson | 21 | 4-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 5 | - |
| J. Mason | 21 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 7-10 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 15 | - |
| S. Taibi | 19 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 3-3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 7 | - |
| D. Beitzel | 16 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 11-13 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 17 | - |
| W. Figures | 13 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | - |
| M. Garrett | 10 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| T. Montgomery | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
Montana State Bobcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Durham | 31 | 5-11 | 2-7 | 5-6 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 15 | - |
| M. Davis | 29 | 3-8 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 4 | - |
| B. Johnson | 27 | 4-8 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 9 | - |
| D. Mbunga | 23 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 0 | - |
| C. Taylor | 21 | 5-13 | 2-6 | 4-5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 4 | - |
| B. Howard | 20 | 4-6 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 4 | - |
| P. Friesen | 19 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| J. Hennessy | 15 | 2-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| A. Zamora | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| N. Weidenaar | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - |
* = starter