Model Predictions
| Model | Monmouth Hawks | Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 68.8% | 31.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 70.7% | 29.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 63.3% | 36.7% | -3.0 | ✓ (1.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.2% | 55.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers -4 (66-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.