Model Predictions
| Model | North Carolina Tar Heels | Boston College Eagles | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 81.4% | 18.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 76.2% | 23.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 81.2% | 18.8% | -8.0 | ✓ (2.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 74.5% | 25.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 96.8% | 3.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 94.6% | 5.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 94.6% | 5.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Boston College Eagles -10 (80-90). Predictions use season-end ratings.
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Hansbrough | 33 | 7-16 | 0-0 | 11-14 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 25 | 20 | - |
| W. Ellington | 31 | 6-11 | 2-5 | 4-4 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 14 | - |
| D. Green | 30 | 7-11 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 14 | - |
| M. Ginyard | 29 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 8 | - |
| T. Lawson | 21 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Q. Thomas | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 | - |
| A. Stepheson | 13 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| D. Thompson | 12 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 2 | - |
| W. Graves | 4 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
| M. Copeland | 3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| P. Moody | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| M. Campbell | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J.B. Tanner | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| G. Little | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Wooten | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Boston College Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Rice | 39 | 14-25 | 8-12 | 10-11 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 46 | 24 | - |
| R. Sanders | 30 | 2-10 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -1 | - |
| C. Raji | 29 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 14 | - |
| J. Southern | 24 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 8 | - |
| T. Blair | 22 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 8 | - |
| S. Spears | 18 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 8 | - |
| B. Paris | 18 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| J. Oates | 16 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| T. Roche | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter