Model Predictions
| Model | Illinois State Redbirds | Southern Illinois Salukis | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 57.9% | 42.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 48.7% | 51.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 42.8% | 57.2% | +1.6 | ✗ (9.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.4% | 52.6% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 51.3% | 48.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 51.1% | 48.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Southern Illinois Salukis -8 (49-57). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Illinois State Redbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Richardson | 35 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 5-6 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 0 | - |
| O. Eldridge | 35 | 9-20 | 4-12 | 5-8 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 27 | 11 | - |
| A. Slack | 32 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 14 | - |
| E. Holloway | 30 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 4-6 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 9 | - |
| B. Sampay | 19 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| L. Dyer | 17 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
| D. Odiakosa | 14 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - |
| S. Odzic | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| A. Rubin | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
Southern Illinois Salukis
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Falker | 36 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 6-10 | 14 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 18 | 24 | - |
| M. Shaw | 35 | 2-11 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -3 | - |
| B. Mullins | 35 | 3-14 | 1-8 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8 | -5 | - |
| J. Bone | 31 | 2-12 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | -3 | - |
| W. Clemmons | 26 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 6 | - |
| T. Green | 22 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| T. Boyle | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| C. Fay | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| D. Coopwood | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter