Model Predictions
| Model | Mississippi State Bulldogs | Florida Gators | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 18.9% | 81.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 39.1% | 60.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 27.6% | 72.4% | +5.3 | ✗ (14.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 54.9% | 45.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 34.5% | 65.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 67.1% | 32.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 67.1% | 32.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Florida Gators -9 (59-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Mississippi State Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Stewart | 39 | 3-13 | 2-8 | 2-2 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 8 | - |
| B. Hansbrough | 38 | 6-10 | 4-8 | 4-4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 15 | - |
| J. Varnado | 37 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 3-8 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 11 | 24 | - |
| C. Rhodes | 36 | 6-13 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 12 | - |
| J. Gordon | 33 | 1-8 | 0-4 | 2-4 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 7 | - |
| R. Johnson | 10 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
| B. Johnson | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| E. Bailey | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Florida Gators
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Calathes | 36 | 6-14 | 3-7 | 3-4 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 13 | - |
| W. Hodge | 36 | 4-10 | 2-6 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 5 | - |
| M. Speights | 32 | 8-15 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 20 | 15 | - |
| J. Lucas | 26 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| C. Parsons | 22 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 11 | - |
| D. Werner | 21 | 0-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
| A. Tyus | 11 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
| A. Allen | 8 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | - |
| J. Mitchell | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter