Model Predictions
| Model | Colorado State Rams | San Diego State Aztecs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 11.7% | 88.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 33.3% | 66.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 26.5% | 73.5% | +5.6 | ✓ (18.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 12.1% | 87.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 3.1% | 96.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 3.0% | 97.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Diego State Aztecs +24 (86-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Colorado State Rams
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Walker | 35 | 7-15 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 4 | - |
| A. McFarland | 30 | 5-10 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 10 | - |
| J. Woodard | 25 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 5-7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 11 | 2 | - |
| J. Simmons | 23 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 8 | - |
| S. Creason | 23 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 2 | - |
| F. Clayman | 19 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| D. Cohen | 18 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| A. Nigon | 18 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| W. Gardner | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| J. Van Tassel | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. McGinley | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. White | 31 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 16 | 15 | - |
| D.J. Gay | 30 | 6-9 | 4-6 | 2-3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 10 | - |
| L. Wade | 27 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 11 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 22 | - |
| R. Amoroso | 26 | 10-12 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 21 | - |
| R. Williams | 26 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 5 | - |
| M. Thomas | 19 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| K. Davis | 18 | 3-9 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 3 | - |
| C. Lamb | 15 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
| J. Johnson | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter