Model Predictions
| Model | USC Trojans | Arizona State Sun Devils | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 62.2% | 37.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 39.0% | 61.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 32.4% | 67.6% | +4.0 | ✓ (10.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.9% | 48.1% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 69.9% | 30.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 62.0% | 38.0% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 62.0% | 38.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Arizona State Sun Devils +14 (80-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.
USC Trojans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| O.J. Mayo | 38 | 12-21 | 7-10 | 6-7 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 37 | 25 | - |
| D. Hackett | 28 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 4 | - |
| D. Lewis | 27 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| D. Jefferson | 24 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 2 | - |
| T. Gibson | 24 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 2 | - |
| A. Johnson | 23 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 3 | - |
| K. Wilkinson | 17 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| M. Simmons | 16 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
| R. Wetherell | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| R. Cromwell | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| T. Green | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
Arizona State Sun Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Harden | 37 | 7-8 | 1-2 | 9-10 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 24 | 21 | - |
| R. Kuksiks | 34 | 3-9 | 2-8 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 6 | - |
| J. Ayres | 34 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 9-11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 21 | 24 | - |
| T. Abbott | 31 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 3 | - |
| D. Glasser | 29 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 6-6 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 8 | - |
| J. Shipp | 16 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
| J. McMillan | 10 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| E. Boateng | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| A. Atuahene | 3 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
* = starter