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2008-03-01

Model Predictions

Model Vanderbilt Commodores Arkansas Razorbacks Spread Result
Elo 66.5% 33.5% -
Bradley-Terry 31.4% 68.6% -
Margin 25.1% 74.9% +6.0 (1.0 off)
Pythagorean 55.3% 44.7% -
Efficiency 42.6% 57.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 61.7% 38.3% -
Log Adjusted 61.9% 38.1% -

Actual: Arkansas Razorbacks +5 (78-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Vanderbilt Commodores

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Foster 35 8-12 6-8 0-0 4 1 2 0 0 22 17 -
J. Beal 33 1-9 0-3 3-4 3 7 1 0 4 5 3 -
A. Gordon 31 0-7 0-3 0-0 1 7 0 0 1 0 0 -
A.J. Ogilvy 30 8-13 0-0 4-5 6 2 0 2 1 20 16 -
R. Neltner 28 5-11 2-3 2-2 6 2 0 0 5 14 6 -
D. McClellan 12 1-1 1-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 3 1 -
A. Metcalfe 10 2-2 1-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 5 5 -
A. Walker 9 1-3 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 0 1 2 4 -
J. Graham 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
K. Bell 5 0-1 0-1 2-2 0 2 1 0 0 2 4 -
G. Drake 1 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

Arkansas Razorbacks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
G. Ervin 38 5-8 0-1 3-4 4 7 1 0 1 13 16 -
S. Weems 37 5-9 3-5 7-8 2 2 1 1 1 20 16 -
S. Augustus 35 4-13 1-1 2-2 1 10 1 0 3 11 7 -
P. Beverley 34 6-10 5-7 0-3 7 3 1 0 3 17 15 -
N. Anosike 32 2-11 0-0 1-4 9 0 5 2 1 5 9 -
C. Wiggins 30 8-18 2-3 4-5 5 2 1 1 2 22 11 -
D. Townes 29 5-9 0-0 3-3 2 3 3 0 4 13 8 -
A. DeForge 28 2-7 0-3 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 4 -2 -
C. Houston 23 3-11 0-0 1-2 8 2 0 1 0 7 7 -
C. Thomas 20 2-3 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 4 3 -
N. Moore 16 1-4 0-1 5-7 4 0 0 1 0 7 8 -
V. Hunter 15 2-4 0-1 0-0 6 0 0 0 2 4 4 -
S. Hill 11 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 4 1 2 6 -
S. Welsh 11 2-3 1-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 5 0 -
N. Ohlde 10 5-9 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 1 0 10 5 -
N. Quinn 10 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 2 1 0 2 0 1 -
K. Rasmussen 7 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 2 0 2 0 0 5 -
M. Washington 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter