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2008-06-08

Model Predictions

Model Sacramento Monarchs New York Liberty Spread Result
Elo 46.6% 53.4% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 40.5% 59.5% - โœ—
Margin 30.5% 69.5% +4.5 โœ— (11.5 off)
Pythagorean 44.1% 55.9% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 40.8% 59.2% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 40.8% 59.2% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 40.0% 60.0% - โœ—

Actual: New York Liberty -7 (63-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Sacramento Monarchs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
N. Powell 30 5-13 2-7 2-3 8 0 1 0 1 14 9 -
K. Lawson 29 4-14 2-5 1-1 2 3 0 0 3 11 -1 -
R. Brunson 23 5-10 0-0 0-0 8 1 1 0 1 10 9 -
T. Penicheiro 23 5-6 0-1 8-9 1 3 1 0 3 18 14 -
A. Williams-Strong 23 5-8 0-0 1-2 9 1 0 0 1 11 12 -
L. Harper 19 1-3 0-0 2-2 3 0 2 1 0 4 7 -
C. Newton 15 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 2 2 1 -
C. Kelly 11 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 2 0 -2 -
K. Smith 8 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 -
S. Dorrell 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -
A. Franklin 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -

New York Liberty

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Kraayeveld 30 3-9 1-7 3-4 6 2 0 0 2 10 7 -
Leilani Mitchell 30 0-4 0-2 2-2 2 8 1 0 3 2 6 -
S. Christon 27 2-12 1-5 2-4 6 0 3 1 0 7 5 -
E. Carson 21 4-10 0-0 0-0 1 1 2 0 1 8 1 -
J. McCarville 21 1-5 0-0 1-2 6 1 0 2 0 3 7 -
T. Jackson-Jones 20 5-8 0-0 0-0 9 1 2 1 0 10 15 -
L. Willis 16 4-6 2-3 1-2 1 0 0 0 2 11 4 -
M. Duffy 10 1-2 1-2 2-2 1 1 0 0 2 5 3 -
E. Thorn 9 1-4 1-2 4-4 0 0 0 0 1 7 2 -
E. Larkins 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 -
A. Battle 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 2 0 0 0 2 -

* = starter