Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Mercury | Los Angeles Sparks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 29.2% | 70.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 28.9% | 71.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 24.1% | 75.9% | +6.3 | ✗ (12.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.0% | 59.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Los Angeles Sparks -6 (79-85). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Pondexter | 36 | 9-21 | 2-4 | 8-9 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 28 | 16 | - |
| D. Taurasi | 32 | 9-22 | 2-7 | 9-11 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 29 | 14 | - |
| L. Willingham | 31 | 5-8 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 15 | - |
| K. Miller | 27 | 0-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| T. Smith | 19 | 2-10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| B. Farris | 16 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 9 | - |
| L. Sanders | 11 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| J. Derevjanik | 11 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - |
| K. Mazzante | 10 | 0-6 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | - |
Los Angeles Sparks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Parker | 36 | 7-14 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 14 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 26 | - |
| L. Leslie | 35 | 7-18 | 1-4 | 2-3 | 15 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 18 | - |
| D. Milton-Jones | 32 | 5-8 | 2-4 | 4-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 16 | 8 | - |
| R. Masciadri | 27 | 6-11 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 7 | - |
| K. Brown | 21 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| T. Johnson | 15 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | -6 | - |
| M. Ferdinand-Harris | 14 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 1 | - |
| S. Spencer | 5 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| C. Thomas | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| M. Page | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| J. Moore | 3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter