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2008-02-29

Model Predictions

Model Harvard Crimson Columbia Lions Spread Result
Elo 27.9% 72.1% -
Bradley-Terry 67.2% 32.8% -
Margin 65.1% 34.9% -3.4 (10.4 off)
Pythagorean 22.0% 78.0% -
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 22.8% 77.2% -
Log Adjusted 23.0% 77.0% -

Actual: Columbia Lions +7 (61-54). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Harvard Crimson

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Lin 38 5-11 0-2 0-0 4 4 0 1 5 10 3 -
D. Housman 36 2-7 1-3 6-6 6 1 0 0 4 11 7 -
E. Harris 29 3-4 0-0 4-6 9 1 1 2 0 10 19 -
B. Unger 28 5-10 2-5 1-2 6 2 2 0 1 13 12 -
A. Pusar 27 1-5 0-1 0-1 1 0 1 0 1 2 -2 -
D. McGeary 20 2-8 0-6 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 4 -3 -
C. Dinc 17 2-3 0-1 0-2 2 0 0 1 1 4 3 -
D. Miller 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 -
K. Fitzgerald 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

Columbia Lions

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Baumann 37 8-14 0-3 2-2 10 2 0 0 2 18 14 -
B. Nwachukwu 30 10-12 0-0 0-1 11 0 1 0 3 20 17 -
B. Loscalzo 28 0-1 0-0 6-8 1 2 0 0 2 6 6 -
K. Bulger 26 2-5 0-2 3-4 2 3 0 0 2 7 5 -
M. Montgomery 22 2-6 0-2 2-3 2 3 2 0 1 6 6 -
K.J. Matsui 20 1-3 0-1 0-0 1 1 1 0 2 2 0 -
N. Scott 18 0-7 0-4 2-4 1 0 1 0 0 2 -3 -
A. Ampim 8 0-4 0-0 0-1 1 0 0 0 0 0 -3 -
K. Sweet 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 2 0 0 0 0 2 -
J. Miller 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 -

* = starter