🐻⬇️🏀

Pennsylvania Quakers 70
@
Yale Bulldogs 63
2008-02-29

Model Predictions

Model Pennsylvania Quakers Yale Bulldogs Spread Result
Elo 49.3% 50.7% - ✗
Bradley-Terry 35.1% 64.9% - ✗
Margin 15.2% 84.8% +9.4 ✗ (16.4 off)
Pythagorean 35.9% 64.1% - ✗
Adjusted Efficiency 23.9% 76.1% - ✗
Log Adjusted 23.5% 76.5% - ✗
Points Off/Def 31.1% 68.9% - ✗

Actual: Yale Bulldogs -7 (63-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Pennsylvania Quakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Grandieri 35 4-8 4-4 2-7 10 6 0 0 1 14 21 -
J. Eggleston 34 4-7 0-0 10-10 5 4 0 1 0 18 21 -
T. Bernardini 32 7-9 0-1 2-2 1 1 0 0 2 16 7 -
B. Votel 25 4-8 0-0 0-0 5 0 1 0 1 8 5 -
K. Egee 24 1-5 0-1 0-0 2 3 1 1 0 2 4 -
J. Reilly 10 1-2 0-0 0-0 3 0 2 0 1 2 4 -
A. Schreiber 10 1-4 0-1 0-0 4 0 0 0 3 2 -1 -

Yale Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Holmes 33 5-9 2-4 4-4 2 0 1 0 1 16 9 -
E. Flato 29 4-11 2-8 3-4 0 3 1 0 0 13 6 -
T. Pinick 29 0-4 0-0 3-6 6 4 0 0 4 3 5 -
R. Morin 27 5-9 1-2 5-5 9 0 0 1 1 16 16 -
N. Holmes 24 2-6 2-5 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 6 0 -
M. Kyle 17 1-2 0-0 0-0 3 0 2 2 3 2 4 -
P. Braswell 11 0-3 0-1 0-0 1 2 0 0 0 0 0 -
M. Sands 11 1-2 0-0 0-2 4 2 0 0 0 2 6 -
A. Zampier 8 0-3 0-0 1-2 0 2 0 0 0 1 0 -
J. Gibson 7 2-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 4 4 -
P. Nelson 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 -

* = starter