Model Predictions
| Model | Fairleigh Dickinson Knights | Wagner Seahawks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 7.4% | 92.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 11.5% | 88.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 14.8% | 85.2% | +9.6 | ✓ (1.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 26.6% | 73.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 20.4% | 79.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 20.4% | 79.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 30.8% | 69.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Wagner Seahawks +11 (78-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Fairleigh Dickinson Knights
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Pursley | 40 | 5-12 | 0-0 | 0-5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 6 | - |
| S. Baptiste | 40 | 7-13 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 9 | - |
| B. Murray | 39 | 2-11 | 0-6 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 1 | - |
| M. Ubilla | 38 | 11-21 | 4-11 | 3-3 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 29 | 18 | - |
| E. Hazard | 25 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| B. Lytle | 15 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| R. Pascal | 3 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
Wagner Seahawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Ulrich | 36 | 5-15 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 15 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 15 | - |
| J. Smith | 34 | 6-9 | 4-5 | 4-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 16 | - |
| M. Porter | 31 | 3-9 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 12 | - |
| D. Vinson | 31 | 5-13 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 14 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 15 | - |
| J. Mundweiler | 25 | 2-6 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| J. Drummond | 19 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6 | - |
| L. Radford | 10 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 11 | - |
| D. Elwell | 9 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| C. Spiller | 4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| M. Orock | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| C. Stratton | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter