Model Predictions
| Model | St. Francis (PA) Red Flash | Monmouth Hawks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 38.5% | 61.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 37.2% | 62.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 32.8% | 67.2% | +3.9 | ✓ (5.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.6% | 52.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 49.8% | 50.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 50.1% | 49.9% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 42.5% | 57.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Monmouth Hawks +9 (73-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.
St. Francis (PA) Red Flash
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Sweetney | 38 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 13 | - |
| C. Berry | 34 | 4-9 | 1-3 | 3-3 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 8 | - |
| B. Dieng | 33 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 4 | - |
| M. Ford | 32 | 4-8 | 4-7 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 12 | - |
| C. Nelson | 22 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| G. Surprenant | 16 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 1 | - |
| S. Orandi | 16 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 8 | - |
| M. Jukic | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| C. McFarland | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| K. Jackson | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Monmouth Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Hett | 38 | 5-9 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 7 | - |
| W. Coleman | 38 | 8-13 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 14 | - |
| A. Nunner | 37 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 7-8 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 19 | - |
| Y. Simpson | 28 | 7-9 | 4-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 14 | - |
| N. DelTufo | 26 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 5 | - |
| D. Gaitley | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | - |
| R.J. Rutledge | 16 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter