Model Predictions
| Model | UL Monroe Warhawks | Arkansas State Red Wolves | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 6.5% | 93.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 17.6% | 82.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 8.9% | 91.1% | +12.8 | ✓ (2.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 23.1% | 76.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Arkansas State Red Wolves +15 (68-53). Predictions use season-end ratings.