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2008-02-28

Model Predictions

Model Denver Pioneers Little Rock Trojans Spread Result
Elo 21.5% 78.5% -
Bradley-Terry 29.9% 70.1% -
Margin 28.2% 71.8% +5.1 (1.9 off)

Actual: Little Rock Trojans +7 (52-45). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Denver Pioneers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Tanner 40 7-10 2-4 4-5 3 3 0 0 1 20 15 -
N. Rohnert 37 1-4 0-2 0-0 1 1 1 0 3 2 -2 -
X. McNally 33 1-5 1-3 0-2 6 5 3 1 1 3 12 -
R. Lewis 28 5-8 0-1 0-0 5 3 1 0 4 10 7 -
J. Jackson 22 1-4 0-2 0-0 2 1 1 0 1 2 1 -
N. Peter-Denman 21 4-4 4-4 2-2 1 0 0 0 0 14 11 -
K. Lewis 19 2-6 0-4 0-0 0 2 0 0 2 4 -2 -

Little Rock Trojans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Smith 36 5-11 0-0 0-0 5 3 2 0 2 10 7 -
S. Moore 34 8-11 3-5 4-6 4 2 1 0 2 23 17 -
J. Fowler 29 2-3 0-1 1-1 4 1 0 2 1 5 8 -
B. Patterson 29 2-5 0-0 0-0 2 3 0 1 3 4 2 -
T. Akins 19 2-6 2-4 2-2 1 2 1 0 0 8 6 -
D. Eggins 16 3-3 1-1 2-3 5 3 0 0 0 9 14 -
S. Edwards 15 2-3 1-1 0-0 4 1 0 0 3 5 4 -
M. Mouzy 11 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 2 0 -2 -
R. Moss 7 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
D. Bails 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter