Model Predictions
| Model | UC Davis Aggies | Pacific Tigers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 52.5% | 47.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 38.3% | 61.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 32.5% | 67.5% | +4.0 | ✓ (41.0 off) |
| Efficiency | 30.3% | 69.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Pacific Tigers +45 (95-50). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UC Davis Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Payne | 34 | 2-8 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | - |
| V. Oliver | 31 | 5-11 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 3 | - |
| D. Carter | 30 | 5-6 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 11 | - |
| D. Calegari | 24 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 2 | - |
| C. Portz | 21 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| S. Hanson | 19 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6 | - |
| N. Clark | 19 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| K. Brucculeri | 17 | 1-8 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0 | - |
| K. Toth | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Pacific Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Troyer | 26 | 9-13 | 8-11 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 27 | 19 | - |
| S. Johnson | 23 | 5-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 12 | - |
| J. Doran | 19 | 3-8 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | - |
| A. Brown | 18 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 11 | - |
| M. Kirby | 17 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 10 | - |
| T. Smith | 17 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| B. LeDuc | 16 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 12 | - |
| M. Nunnally | 16 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| C.J. Morgan | 15 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| C. Neimeyer | 14 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 12 | - |
| S. Willard | 9 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
| D. Garrett | 6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| J. Ford | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter