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2008-02-28

Model Predictions

Model Michigan State Spartans Wisconsin Badgers Spread Result
Elo 58.2% 41.8% -
Bradley-Terry 56.9% 43.1% -
Margin 55.3% 44.7% -1.2 (16.2 off)
Pythagorean 39.8% 60.2% -
Efficiency 48.2% 51.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 11.7% 88.3% -
Log Adjusted 11.6% 88.4% -

Actual: Wisconsin Badgers +15 (57-42). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Michigan State Spartans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Neitzel 32 1-10 1-4 0-0 2 3 1 0 0 3 -1 -
G. Suton 31 6-10 0-2 2-2 15 1 0 1 2 14 19 -
R. Morgan 29 3-7 0-0 1-2 7 0 0 0 1 7 6 -
K. Lucas 29 5-13 0-1 0-1 1 3 0 0 0 10 1 -
D. Naymick 25 2-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 3 1 4 6 -
T. Walton 20 2-5 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 4 -2 -
C. Allen 11 0-4 0-2 0-0 2 1 0 1 0 0 0 -
M. Gray 11 0-3 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 0 0 0 2 -
D. Summers 9 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
I. Ibok 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Wisconsin Badgers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Hughes 35 3-7 2-2 5-6 4 4 0 0 0 13 14 -
M. Flowers 35 3-10 1-2 2-4 3 3 1 1 0 9 7 -
J. Krabbenhoft 31 2-5 1-2 0-0 6 3 1 0 1 5 9 -
B. Butch 28 5-10 4-6 2-2 7 0 1 0 0 16 14 -
J. Bohannon 25 0-2 0-2 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 0 2 -
M. Landry 25 3-9 0-2 2-2 3 0 0 0 0 8 2 -
G. Stiemsma 13 3-5 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 3 0 6 6 -
T. Jarmusz 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. Leuer 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
T. Bronson 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
K. Nankivil 1 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter