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2008-02-28

Model Predictions

Model Northern Colorado Bears Montana Grizzlies Spread Result
Elo 33.6% 66.4% -
Bradley-Terry 35.0% 65.0% -
Margin 28.1% 71.9% +5.2 (9.8 off)
Pythagorean 38.8% 61.2% -
Efficiency 16.9% 83.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 31.1% 68.9% -
Log Adjusted 31.1% 68.9% -

Actual: Montana Grizzlies +15 (81-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Northern Colorado Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Banks 31 6-11 0-0 3-3 5 0 2 0 4 15 7 -
D. Beitzel 28 4-8 2-5 2-3 3 3 1 0 4 12 7 -
N. Kingman 27 5-9 0-2 0-0 6 1 1 0 3 10 6 -
S. Taibi 23 4-10 3-6 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 11 5 -
T. Anderson 22 2-4 0-0 4-4 3 5 2 0 5 8 9 -
W. Figures 21 1-4 0-1 2-2 4 2 0 0 3 4 3 -
J. Mason 18 2-6 0-1 2-2 2 0 1 0 2 6 1 -
T. Montgomery 16 0-1 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 0 3 -
R. Palacios 14 0-4 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 0 -2 -

Montana Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Elgin-Taylor 35 3-6 1-3 1-2 3 11 2 0 2 8 16 -
A. Strait 32 8-11 0-0 0-2 13 0 1 1 3 16 17 -
J. Hasquet 31 3-9 2-6 6-6 9 5 6 0 1 14 24 -
R. Staudacher 29 6-10 4-7 0-0 1 1 1 0 1 16 8 -
C. Rundles 21 6-11 3-5 1-1 2 1 0 0 3 16 5 -
K. Sharp 18 1-6 0-2 1-2 2 1 0 0 2 3 -2 -
M. Martin 15 3-9 1-6 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 7 -1 -
B. Qvale 8 0-0 0-0 1-2 2 1 2 1 3 1 4 -
D. Vanderjagt 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
G. Spurgetis 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter