Model Predictions
| Model | Notre Dame Fighting Irish | Louisville Cardinals | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 18.5% | 81.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 38.3% | 61.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 27.7% | 72.3% | +5.3 | ✓ (0.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 38.6% | 61.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 15.6% | 84.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 12.6% | 87.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 12.5% | 87.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Louisville Cardinals +5 (90-85). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Notre Dame Fighting Irish
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. McAlarney | 39 | 3-14 | 1-8 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | -7 | - |
| L. Harangody | 32 | 16-28 | 3-4 | 5-7 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 40 | 30 | - |
| R. Kurz | 32 | 3-9 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 14 | - |
| T. Jackson | 30 | 1-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | - |
| R. Ayers | 27 | 6-9 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 16 | - |
| Z. Hillesland | 18 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 11 | - |
| J. Peoples | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5 | - |
| L. Zeller | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Louisville Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Williams | 33 | 5-10 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 12 | - |
| J. Smith | 30 | 3-6 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | - |
| D. Padgett | 28 | 10-14 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 26 | 23 | - |
| E. Sosa | 27 | 2-7 | 2-5 | 4-6 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 7 | - |
| A. McGee | 25 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 10 | - |
| E. Clark | 24 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 14 | - |
| J. Palacios | 16 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 7 | - |
| D. Caracter | 12 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 1 | - |
| P. Knowles | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter