Model Predictions
| Model | UC Riverside Highlanders | Cal Poly Mustangs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 42.6% | 57.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 33.0% | 67.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 27.0% | 73.0% | +5.5 | ✓ (1.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 38.7% | 61.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 33.3% | 66.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 33.2% | 66.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 39.2% | 60.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Cal Poly Mustangs +7 (70-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UC Riverside Highlanders
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Scott | 38 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 7-8 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 18 | - |
| J. Diggs | 37 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| L. Cunningham | 35 | 6-21 | 2-9 | 3-4 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 2 | - |
| C. Barlow | 31 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 11 | 5 | - |
| S. Cunningham | 22 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 5 | - |
| C. Soto | 20 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 12 | - |
| S. Gates | 19 | 2-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -1 | - |
| M. Creppy | 13 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| B.J. Visman | 9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| M. Allen | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Cal Poly Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Keeler | 45 | 7-13 | 4-8 | 4-4 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 17 | - |
| T. Clark | 45 | 3-15 | 0-5 | 5-6 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 3 | - |
| D. Vance | 28 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 5-9 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 17 | 18 | - |
| M. Hanson | 26 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 5 | - |
| T. Shelton | 26 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 8 | - |
| S. Lewis | 25 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 3 | - |
| C. Anderson | 20 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| J. Manley | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Z. Thurow | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter