Model Predictions
| Model | USC Trojans | Arizona Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 17.1% | 82.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 91.5% | 8.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 34.2% | 65.8% | +3.6 | ✗ (15.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.1% | 49.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 47.6% | 52.4% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 56.3% | 43.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 55.9% | 44.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Arizona Wildcats -12 (58-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.
USC Trojans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| O.J. Mayo | 40 | 6-13 | 3-4 | 5-5 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 15 | - |
| D. Jefferson | 35 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 14 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 18 | - |
| D. Lewis | 35 | 5-10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 3 | - |
| T. Gibson | 31 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 4-8 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 9 | - |
| D. Hackett | 24 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| A. Johnson | 21 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 6 | - |
| K. Wilkinson | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Arizona Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. McClellan | 39 | 4-10 | 3-7 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 7 | - |
| J. Hill | 36 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 18 | 17 | - |
| C. Budinger | 36 | 3-8 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 7 | - |
| J. Bayless | 34 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 4-5 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 8 | 2 | - |
| F. Onobun | 19 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - |
| D. Dillon | 17 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | - |
| J. Horne | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Z. Johnson | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| K. Walters | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter