Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana State Sycamores | Northern Iowa Panthers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 45.4% | 54.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 32.1% | 67.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 22.7% | 77.3% | +6.8 | ✓ (8.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.4% | 52.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 5.0% | 95.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 56.8% | 43.2% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 56.8% | 43.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Northern Iowa Panthers +15 (73-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana State Sycamores
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G. Moore | 36 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 11 | - |
| M. Stinson | 32 | 3-11 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | -5 | - |
| J. Tunnell | 29 | 5-9 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 13 | - |
| H. Marshall | 28 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 4-7 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 7 | - |
| T. McCoy | 25 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 10 | - |
| I. Martin | 15 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 2 | - |
| C. Holmstrom | 14 | 3-8 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 1 | - |
| A. Carter | 11 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| A. Arnold | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
Northern Iowa Panthers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Josten | 34 | 2-11 | 2-5 | 5-6 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 7 | - |
| A. Koch | 29 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 7 | - |
| A. Viet | 28 | 4-7 | 4-7 | 4-6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 11 | - |
| E. Coleman | 23 | 5-13 | 0-0 | 11-15 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 21 | 27 | - |
| K. Dunham | 21 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 6 | - |
| L. O'Rear | 18 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| T. Brown | 17 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | - |
| C. Reed | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
| B. Haak | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| J. Eglseder | 4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| J. Green | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| J. Montgomery | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter