Model Predictions
| Model | Creighton Bluejays | Illinois State Redbirds | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 78.1% | 21.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 73.7% | 26.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 77.0% | 23.0% | -6.6 | ✗ (20.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 35.8% | 64.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 76.9% | 23.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 22.5% | 77.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 22.6% | 77.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Illinois State Redbirds +14 (68-54). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Creighton Bluejays
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P. Stinnett | 30 | 4-7 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 7 | - |
| D. Watts | 29 | 4-7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 8 | - |
| B. Woodfox | 24 | 4-10 | 2-6 | 2-6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 4 | - |
| N. Bahe | 20 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
| C. Witter | 20 | 4-10 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 3 | - |
| J. Dotzler | 19 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - |
| K. Lawson Jr. | 15 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| C. Millard | 14 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| C. Harriman | 14 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| P. Hibma | 8 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| K. Korver | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| K. Walker II | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Illinois State Redbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| O. Eldridge | 38 | 5-15 | 3-8 | 2-3 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 8 | - |
| B. Richardson | 35 | 5-10 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 16 | - |
| A. Slack | 34 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 20 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 27 | - |
| E. Holloway | 29 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | - |
| L. Dyer | 23 | 3-8 | 3-6 | 4-5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 7 | - |
| D. Odiakosa | 20 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 11 | - |
| S. Odzic | 11 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -2 | - |
| A. Rubin | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| B. Sampay | 3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| B. Holtz | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| J. Moor | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter