Model Predictions
| Model | Towson Tigers | Georgia State Panthers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 51.3% | 48.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 54.8% | 45.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 38.8% | 61.2% | +2.5 | ✓ (13.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.3% | 48.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 52.8% | 47.2% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 52.9% | 47.1% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 45.6% | 54.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Georgia State Panthers +16 (79-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Towson Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Durant | 30 | 9-15 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 9 | - |
| C.C. Williams | 29 | 7-9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 9 | - |
| J. Thornton | 27 | 5-9 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 5 | - |
| J. Pease | 25 | 3-10 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 2 | - |
| J. Hairston | 18 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| R. Nwankwo | 17 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - |
| S. Raboin | 15 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| R. Coleman | 15 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| T. Crossin | 13 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| V. Carr | 9 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | - |
| R. Kannegieter | 2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
Georgia State Panthers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Mendez | 33 | 6-14 | 4-8 | 5-7 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 16 | - |
| D. Dickerson | 28 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 11 | - |
| M. Moynihan | 24 | 6-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 15 | - |
| J. Billingslea | 24 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 5 | - |
| D.J. Jones | 23 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 5 | - |
| T. Goldston | 21 | 4-5 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 10 | - |
| R. Chase | 18 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| K. Lott | 16 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | - |
| J. Ali | 8 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| N. Mitchell | 3 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| O. Krubally | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter