Model Predictions
| Model | Auburn Tigers | Mississippi State Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 61.8% | 38.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 32.7% | 67.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 26.0% | 74.0% | +5.8 | ✓ (5.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 17.1% | 82.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 16.3% | 83.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 4.5% | 95.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 4.5% | 95.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Mississippi State Bulldogs +11 (89-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Auburn Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q. Prowell | 40 | 11-21 | 7-10 | 2-4 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 31 | 21 | - |
| Q. Robertson | 40 | 1-8 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
| L. Hargrove | 39 | 5-13 | 0-5 | 1-1 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 10 | - |
| R. Barrett | 33 | 5-13 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 6 | - |
| F. Tolbert | 24 | 3-10 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 2 | - |
| D. Reed | 24 | 3-6 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 7 | - |
Mississippi State Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Hansbrough | 38 | 3-9 | 2-7 | 3-3 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 12 | - |
| B. Stewart | 37 | 4-8 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 12 | - |
| J. Varnado | 37 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 14 | 22 | - |
| J. Gordon | 33 | 8-14 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 20 | 10 | - |
| C. Rhodes | 33 | 11-14 | 1-1 | 7-8 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 30 | 26 | - |
| B. Johnson | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| R. Benock | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| P. Turner | 5 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | - |
| E. Bailey | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| B. Begley | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter