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2008-02-27

Model Predictions

Model Arkansas Razorbacks Alabama Crimson Tide Spread Result
Elo 16.3% 83.7% -
Bradley-Terry 47.2% 52.8% -
Margin 38.8% 61.2% +2.5 (0.5 off)
Pythagorean 52.6% 47.4% -
Efficiency 88.4% 11.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 70.6% 29.4% -
Log Adjusted 70.6% 29.4% -

Actual: Alabama Crimson Tide +3 (59-56). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Arkansas Razorbacks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
G. Ervin 36 3-7 0-2 0-1 2 5 2 0 3 6 5 -
S. Weems 33 6-15 1-6 4-5 8 1 1 1 4 17 9 -
D. Townes 28 7-10 0-0 3-7 6 1 1 0 1 17 14 -
P. Beverley 24 2-11 0-4 1-2 5 1 1 0 2 5 -1 -
S. Welsh 23 1-8 1-6 0-0 2 1 1 1 1 3 -1 -
C. Thomas 18 1-5 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 0 3 2 -2 -
S. Hill 14 1-1 0-0 1-1 3 0 1 4 1 3 9 -
V. Hunter 13 1-3 1-3 0-0 3 1 2 2 1 3 7 -
M. Washington 7 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 0 2 -
M. Britt 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

Alabama Crimson Tide

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Riley 34 3-8 1-4 0-0 6 2 1 1 4 7 5 -
R. Pickett 32 2-7 0-0 3-4 2 1 1 1 3 7 2 -
R. Hendrix 31 5-11 0-0 2-5 10 3 5 1 0 12 20 -
D. Jemison 29 7-12 0-0 5-5 11 2 1 1 2 19 20 -
S. Hillman 26 3-5 1-3 1-4 3 0 1 1 3 8 5 -
A. Gee 16 0-2 0-1 1-4 2 1 0 0 0 1 2 -
J. Knox 12 1-4 0-0 1-2 1 0 1 0 0 3 1 -
Y. Coleman 9 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 2 2 -
B. Hollinger 7 0-2 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
M. Torrance 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 3 0 -4 -

* = starter