Model Predictions
| Model | Florida State Seminoles | NC State Wolfpack | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 21.4% | 78.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 47.7% | 52.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 45.9% | 54.1% | +0.9 | ✗ (10.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 65.9% | 34.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 49.4% | 50.6% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 85.2% | 14.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 85.3% | 14.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: NC State Wolfpack -10 (62-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Florida State Seminoles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Douglas | 37 | 7-19 | 3-8 | 3-4 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 10 | - |
| J. Rich | 35 | 7-16 | 1-2 | 6-8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 12 | - |
| R. Mims | 34 | 4-9 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 9 | - |
| U. Echefu | 33 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 7-7 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 17 | - |
| R. Reid | 29 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6 | - |
| J. DeMercy | 14 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| J. Vaughn | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| M. Zitani | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
NC State Wolfpack
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G. Grant | 33 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
| J. Hickson | 31 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 9 | - |
| M. Johnson | 28 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 6 | - |
| C. Fells | 25 | 4-7 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 7 | - |
| T. Ferguson | 21 | 4-5 | 4-5 | 5-5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 16 | - |
| T. Smith | 19 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 7 | - |
| B. Costner | 15 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
| B. McCauley | 13 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| J. Gonzalez | 10 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| D. Horner | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| S. Harris | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter