Model Predictions
| Model | San Diego State Aztecs | UNLV Rebels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 86.6% | 13.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 46.0% | 54.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 40.5% | 59.5% | +2.1 | ✓ (7.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.1% | 57.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 26.0% | 74.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 22.7% | 77.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 22.7% | 77.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UNLV Rebels +10 (68-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Wade | 37 | 8-15 | 0-1 | 5-7 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 19 | - |
| R. Amoroso | 35 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 2 | - |
| B. White | 27 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 7 | - |
| R. Williams | 25 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 5 | - |
| K. Davis | 21 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| D.J. Gay | 21 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -2 | - |
| M. Thomas | 20 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | - |
| J. Johnson | 7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| J. Pastorek | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
UNLV Rebels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Terry | 39 | 3-9 | 0-5 | 3-5 | 4 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 10 | - |
| R. Rougeau | 38 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 21 | - |
| W. Adams | 36 | 8-19 | 2-6 | 5-8 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 23 | 6 | - |
| J. Darger | 30 | 4-7 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 9 | - |
| M. Rutledge | 21 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
| C. Bailey | 17 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | - |
| M. Shaw | 13 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| K. Wallace | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter