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2008-02-26

Model Predictions

Model Tennessee Volunteers Vanderbilt Commodores Spread Result
Elo 26.4% 73.6% -
Bradley-Terry 64.6% 35.4% -
Margin 67.2% 32.8% -3.9 (6.9 off)
Pythagorean 48.4% 51.6% -
Efficiency 75.1% 24.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 64.0% 36.0% -
Log Adjusted 63.9% 36.1% -

Actual: Vanderbilt Commodores +3 (72-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Tennessee Volunteers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Smith 34 4-11 0-2 3-6 17 2 0 1 2 11 18 -
C. Lofton 31 7-18 6-15 5-7 6 0 1 0 0 25 14 -
J. Smith 30 2-6 1-5 4-4 5 2 1 0 0 9 11 -
R. Smith 24 3-9 0-0 2-5 2 3 1 0 2 8 3 -
W. Chism 23 2-7 0-2 0-1 4 0 0 2 0 4 3 -
J.P. Prince 18 1-3 0-0 6-7 1 0 1 1 0 8 8 -
J. Howell 16 0-2 0-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
D. Crews 13 1-4 0-0 2-2 3 0 0 0 1 4 2 -
B. Williams 8 0-1 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 0 2 -
R. Childress 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. Tabb 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Vanderbilt Commodores

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Neltner 34 1-7 0-2 0-0 9 4 0 1 0 2 9 -
J. Beal 34 4-8 2-4 7-9 3 2 0 0 0 17 14 -
S. Foster 33 9-13 6-9 8-11 5 0 0 0 1 32 23 -
A. Gordon 29 2-9 0-4 7-9 2 3 0 0 1 11 6 -
D. McClellan 17 0-1 0-1 0-2 3 0 0 2 1 0 3 -
A. Metcalfe 16 2-6 1-2 1-2 5 0 0 1 1 6 5 -
K. Bell 14 0-2 0-1 0-2 3 1 0 0 1 0 1 -
A.J. Ogilvy 12 1-2 0-0 2-2 3 1 0 3 2 4 7 -
J. Graham 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 -
A. Walker 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
G. Drake 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter