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2008-02-26

Model Predictions

Model Southern Illinois Salukis Bradley Braves Spread Result
Elo 11.4% 88.6% -
Bradley-Terry 41.9% 58.1% -
Margin 35.8% 64.2% +3.2 (14.2 off)
Pythagorean 52.5% 47.5% -
Efficiency 90.3% 9.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 61.5% 38.5% -
Log Adjusted 61.5% 38.5% -

Actual: Bradley Braves -11 (60-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Southern Illinois Salukis

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Mullins 38 3-7 3-4 4-6 5 6 3 0 1 13 19 -
T. Green 35 2-7 0-1 1-2 6 3 0 0 2 5 5 -
M. Shaw 29 4-12 0-3 6-6 9 4 0 0 2 14 13 -
J. Bone 28 3-5 1-3 3-4 3 0 1 0 1 10 8 -
R. Falker 27 5-8 0-0 7-9 5 2 1 1 2 17 16 -
W. Clemmons 18 4-5 1-2 0-0 3 1 1 0 2 9 7 -
T. Boyle 12 1-3 0-0 1-2 2 1 0 0 0 3 3 -
C. Fay 10 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 2 0 0 2 -
D. Coopwood 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. Armstrong 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
C. Cornelius 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Bradley Braves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Wilson 39 2-5 1-3 10-15 7 0 1 0 3 15 15 -
S. Maniscalco 38 5-10 1-4 2-2 0 1 0 0 2 13 2 -
J. Crouch 38 8-21 3-13 2-2 5 1 2 0 2 21 6 -
T. Cole-Scott 29 1-6 1-3 0-1 2 1 0 0 3 3 -3 -
M. Salley 25 3-4 1-1 0-1 9 3 1 1 2 7 15 -
R. Austin 20 0-0 0-0 1-2 4 2 0 3 0 1 10 -
S. Singh 9 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 0 -1 -
D. Collins 1 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
R. Phillips 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter