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2008-02-25

Model Predictions

Model Gonzaga Bulldogs Portland Pilots Spread Result
Elo 96.6% 3.4% -
Bradley-Terry 92.1% 7.9% -
Margin 96.2% 3.8% -17.8 (4.2 off)
Pythagorean 74.1% 25.9% -
Efficiency 96.7% 3.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 96.4% 3.6% -
Log Adjusted 96.4% 3.6% -

Actual: Portland Pilots -22 (51-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Gonzaga Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Pargo 33 6-10 1-3 0-0 6 6 0 0 4 13 11 -
M. Bouldin 29 2-6 0-2 5-5 4 3 2 0 3 9 9 -
D. Pendergraft 28 5-8 1-4 2-2 1 1 0 0 0 13 7 -
M. Downs 26 3-7 2-4 4-4 3 0 0 0 0 12 8 -
S. Gray 22 1-3 0-1 0-0 0 1 2 0 0 2 2 -
J. Heytvelt 19 3-9 0-2 2-5 8 1 2 0 1 8 9 -
A. Kuso 17 3-3 0-0 2-4 6 0 0 1 2 8 10 -
A. Daye 14 1-4 1-3 0-0 3 0 0 1 3 3 0 -
L. Gurganious 6 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 2 4 -
R. Sacre 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 0 1 -
W. Foster 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
I. Brown 1 1-1 1-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 3 3 -

Portland Pilots

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Ito 37 4-9 2-5 0-2 3 3 1 0 3 10 5 -
J. Stohl 27 1-5 1-5 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 3 -3 -
K. Knutson 25 4-5 0-0 0-0 5 1 0 2 4 8 7 -
R. Smeulders 25 5-9 0-0 2-2 0 1 0 0 2 12 2 -
S. Watson 24 1-8 0-3 2-2 2 0 0 0 1 4 -3 -
L. Sikma 17 0-5 0-0 0-0 5 4 0 0 0 0 4 -
E. Niedermeyer 16 1-5 0-3 2-2 1 0 0 1 1 4 0 -
W. Thompson 16 4-5 2-3 0-1 2 0 0 0 1 10 6 -
J. Hannibal 11 0-1 0-0 0-0 3 1 1 0 1 0 3 -
M. Carter 1 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
S. Moser 1 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter