Model Predictions
| Model | Xavier Musketeers | Dayton Flyers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 26.1% | 73.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 48.1% | 51.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 41.3% | 58.7% | +1.9 | ✗ (7.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.8% | 47.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 88.1% | 11.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 51.6% | 48.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 51.2% | 48.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dayton Flyers -6 (51-57). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Xavier Musketeers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Burrell | 38 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 1-3 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 5 | - |
| D. Lavender | 33 | 2-6 | 1-5 | 4-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 6 | - |
| D. Brown | 32 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 7 | - |
| C.J. Anderson | 26 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - |
| J. Duncan | 21 | 3-6 | 1-4 | 7-8 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 9 | - |
| J. Love | 21 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 8 | - |
| B.J. Raymond | 19 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | - |
| D. Jackson | 8 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| A. Graves | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Dayton Flyers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Roberts | 36 | 4-14 | 3-6 | 4-4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 3 | - |
| M. Johnson | 29 | 3-11 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| C. Little | 29 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 3 | - |
| A. Sandoval | 27 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| K. Huelsman | 26 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| L. Warren | 19 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | - |
| J. Binnie | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| M. Perry | 9 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| D. Searcy | 6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| T. Cordeiro | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter