Model Predictions
| Model | NC State Wolfpack | Virginia Cavaliers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 17.3% | 82.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 37.0% | 63.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 30.0% | 70.0% | +4.7 | ✓ (13.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 39.7% | 60.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 12.0% | 88.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 37.6% | 62.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 37.7% | 62.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Virginia Cavaliers +18 (78-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.
NC State Wolfpack
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G. Grant | 32 | 2-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 3 | - |
| B. McCauley | 29 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 9 | 12 | - |
| B. Costner | 26 | 4-6 | 2-3 | 4-4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 13 | - |
| J. Gonzalez | 25 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | - |
| C. Fells | 21 | 3-8 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | -1 | - |
| J. Hickson | 21 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 3 | - |
| T. Ferguson | 19 | 3-5 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 8 | - |
| M. Johnson | 15 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | - |
| D. Horner | 4 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| S. Harris | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| T. Smith | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
Virginia Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Singletary | 33 | 7-15 | 1-4 | 6-8 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 18 | - |
| M. Scott | 29 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
| M. Diane | 25 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 6 | - |
| C. Baker | 24 | 5-10 | 2-4 | 3-4 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 14 | - |
| J. Jones | 21 | 4-8 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 2 | - |
| L. Mikalauskas | 18 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
| R. Pettinella | 18 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| A. Joseph | 18 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 7 | - |
| J. Tucker | 10 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| J. Meyinsse | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter