🐻⬇️🏀

Louisville Cardinals 75
@
Pittsburgh Panthers 73
2008-02-24

Model Predictions

Model Louisville Cardinals Pittsburgh Panthers Spread Result
Elo 46.9% 53.1% - ✗
Bradley-Terry 66.2% 33.8% - ✓
Margin 70.9% 29.1% -4.9 ✓ (2.9 off)
Pythagorean 56.2% 43.8% - ✓
Efficiency 50.4% 49.6% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 77.4% 22.6% - ✓
Log Adjusted 77.6% 22.4% - ✓

Actual: Pittsburgh Panthers -2 (73-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Louisville Cardinals

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Williams 39 3-7 0-3 0-1 7 5 0 0 1 6 10 -
J. Smith 31 3-3 2-2 0-0 4 2 3 0 3 8 11 -
D. Padgett 28 9-13 0-0 3-4 6 2 0 0 6 21 10 -
E. Sosa 27 7-11 3-4 1-2 2 0 0 0 1 18 8 -
E. Clark 23 2-4 0-2 0-1 3 1 0 0 2 4 2 -
J. Palacios 19 2-3 0-0 1-2 6 1 0 2 1 5 10 -
A. McGee 11 1-3 0-2 2-2 3 4 0 0 0 4 8 -
P. Knowles 11 1-2 1-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 3 3 -
D. Caracter 10 2-6 0-0 2-3 2 0 0 0 0 6 2 -
W. Scott 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Pittsburgh Panthers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
L. Fields 37 4-13 0-4 0-1 4 7 3 0 0 8 9 -
S. Young 36 8-15 3-5 1-3 7 5 2 1 1 20 19 -
D. Blair 32 8-14 0-0 4-5 11 0 2 0 0 20 19 -
K. Benjamin 29 3-8 0-4 1-2 3 0 0 0 2 7 0 -
R. Ramon 29 4-8 3-6 0-0 1 4 0 0 0 11 8 -
G. Brown 23 1-6 0-2 3-4 2 2 0 0 1 5 2 -
T. Biggs 12 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
B. Wanamaker 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter