Model Predictions
| Model | Wake Forest Demon Deacons | North Carolina Tar Heels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 26.6% | 73.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 19.4% | 80.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 9.6% | 90.4% | +12.3 | ✓ (3.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 27.0% | 73.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 2.5% | 97.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels +16 (89-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Wake Forest Demon Deacons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| I. Smith | 37 | 2-8 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 1 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 2 | - |
| J. Johnson | 33 | 8-13 | 2-3 | 4-6 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 22 | 15 | - |
| J. Teague | 33 | 7-15 | 1-4 | 3-5 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 6 | - |
| L.D. Williams | 22 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -1 | - |
| C. McFarland | 22 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 12 | - |
| H. Hale | 15 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
| J. Skeen | 14 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 2 | - |
| G. Clark | 13 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| D. Weaver | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Hansbrough | 37 | 9-13 | 0-0 | 11-14 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 29 | 24 | - |
| Q. Thomas | 33 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 12 | - |
| W. Ellington | 32 | 5-11 | 3-5 | 4-6 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 12 | - |
| M. Ginyard | 30 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 7 | - |
| D. Green | 23 | 4-7 | 2-5 | 5-6 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 17 | - |
| A. Stepheson | 19 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 13 | - |
| D. Thompson | 14 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -2 | - |
| M. Copeland | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| W. Graves | 6 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
* = starter