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2008-02-24

Model Predictions

Model Alabama Crimson Tide Auburn Tigers Spread Result
Elo 55.2% 44.8% -
Bradley-Terry 48.6% 51.4% -
Margin 43.7% 56.3% +1.4 (10.6 off)
Pythagorean 66.5% 33.5% -
Efficiency 59.0% 41.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 69.1% 30.9% -
Log Adjusted 69.0% 31.0% -

Actual: Auburn Tigers +12 (88-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Alabama Crimson Tide

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Riley 37 4-9 4-8 3-6 10 1 0 1 2 15 16 -
B. Hollinger 34 3-8 1-4 0-0 3 2 0 0 4 7 0 -
R. Hendrix 33 6-12 0-0 4-5 7 0 3 0 2 16 12 -
A. Gee 33 8-20 1-5 1-2 9 3 1 0 2 18 9 -
R. Pickett 24 1-5 1-5 1-2 0 5 1 1 2 4 4 -
S. Hillman 22 5-11 0-4 0-0 2 3 0 0 1 10 3 -
D. Jemison 7 0-0 0-0 1-2 2 0 0 0 0 1 3 -
J. Tubbs 6 1-2 1-2 0-0 1 2 0 0 0 3 4 -
M. Torrance 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. Knox 2 0-0 0-0 2-2 0 0 0 0 0 2 2 -

Auburn Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Q. Robertson 40 2-3 0-0 4-6 6 7 4 0 0 8 22 -
R. Barrett 37 3-12 3-8 1-2 2 2 1 1 3 10 1 -
L. Hargrove 36 9-12 3-6 7-9 6 3 2 2 0 28 29 -
F. Tolbert 30 2-9 2-5 4-4 3 3 0 1 2 10 6 -
Q. Prowell 26 9-14 4-6 0-0 9 2 2 0 3 22 18 -
D. Reed 16 1-3 0-2 4-4 1 3 1 0 1 6 7 -
M. Heramb 14 2-4 0-1 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 4 3 -
L. Williams 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
R. Brooks 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter