Model Predictions
| Model | Alabama Crimson Tide | Auburn Tigers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 55.2% | 44.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 48.6% | 51.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 43.7% | 56.3% | +1.4 | ✓ (10.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 66.5% | 33.5% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 59.0% | 41.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 69.1% | 30.9% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 69.0% | 31.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Auburn Tigers +12 (88-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Alabama Crimson Tide
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Riley | 37 | 4-9 | 4-8 | 3-6 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 16 | - |
| B. Hollinger | 34 | 3-8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 0 | - |
| R. Hendrix | 33 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 12 | - |
| A. Gee | 33 | 8-20 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 9 | - |
| R. Pickett | 24 | 1-5 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 | - |
| S. Hillman | 22 | 5-11 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 3 | - |
| D. Jemison | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - |
| J. Tubbs | 6 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| M. Torrance | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Knox | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
Auburn Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q. Robertson | 40 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 22 | - |
| R. Barrett | 37 | 3-12 | 3-8 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 1 | - |
| L. Hargrove | 36 | 9-12 | 3-6 | 7-9 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 28 | 29 | - |
| F. Tolbert | 30 | 2-9 | 2-5 | 4-4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Q. Prowell | 26 | 9-14 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 18 | - |
| D. Reed | 16 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| M. Heramb | 14 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| L. Williams | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| R. Brooks | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter