Model Predictions
| Model | Mississippi State Bulldogs | South Carolina Gamecocks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 66.5% | 33.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 43.6% | 56.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 37.5% | 62.5% | +2.8 | ✗ (7.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 68.1% | 31.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 84.5% | 15.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 85.0% | 15.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 85.1% | 14.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: South Carolina Gamecocks -5 (56-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Mississippi State Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Stewart | 43 | 3-10 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 8 | -2 | - |
| C. Rhodes | 42 | 11-17 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 24 | 16 | - |
| B. Hansbrough | 38 | 2-7 | 2-6 | 3-3 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 14 | - |
| J. Varnado | 37 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 17 | - |
| J. Gordon | 36 | 3-10 | 1-4 | 2-4 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 9 | 3 | - |
| E. Bailey | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
| R. Benock | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| R. Johnson | 6 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| P. Turner | 5 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| B. Johnson | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
South Carolina Gamecocks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Downey | 43 | 6-18 | 3-9 | 4-6 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 8 | - |
| E. Baniulis | 41 | 1-7 | 1-7 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -3 | - |
| Z. Fredrick | 37 | 2-12 | 0-7 | 1-4 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | -3 | - |
| D. Day | 35 | 2-8 | 1-7 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 0 | - |
| M. Holmes | 29 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 12 | - |
| B. Raley-Ross | 21 | 3-6 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 8 | - |
| D. Archie | 18 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| C. Gray | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter