Model Predictions
| Model | Houston Cougars | SMU Mustangs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 36.4% | 63.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 33.7% | 66.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 18.9% | 81.1% | +8.0 | ✓ (3.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 33.0% | 67.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: SMU Mustangs +11 (85-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.