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2008-02-23

Model Predictions

Model Howard Bison Morgan State Bears Spread Result
Elo 4.2% 95.8% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 9.7% 90.3% - โœ“
Margin 2.1% 97.9% +21.3 โœ“ (16.3 off)
Pythagorean 6.1% 93.9% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 1.0% 99.0% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 13.8% 86.2% - โœ“

Actual: Morgan State Bears +5 (64-59). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Howard Bison

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
E. Myatt 38 7-16 1-3 5-9 4 1 1 0 0 20 10 -
R. Hampton 32 4-11 1-3 7-10 3 1 0 0 1 16 8 -
C. White 31 3-7 1-4 1-1 5 1 1 0 2 8 6 -
A. Walker 29 2-5 0-0 2-2 8 0 0 2 0 6 11 -
T. Timothy 20 2-6 0-3 0-0 2 2 0 0 0 4 2 -
A. Thomas 19 0-4 0-2 0-0 0 0 1 2 1 0 -2 -
J. Smith 14 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 0 -3 -
P. Kirkpatrick 11 0-2 0-0 2-4 4 0 0 0 0 2 4 -
K. Mukole 6 1-3 1-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 3 2 -

Morgan State Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Coly 37 3-8 0-0 2-6 14 1 1 4 4 8 16 -
J. Smith 32 4-8 1-2 3-4 5 1 3 0 2 12 11 -
J. Green 29 2-7 0-1 3-8 3 6 1 0 1 7 9 -
M. Kately 29 7-10 1-1 2-6 8 2 0 0 1 17 16 -
R. Holmes 23 4-6 2-4 0-5 1 0 0 0 0 10 5 -
J. Bolden 16 3-6 0-0 2-3 2 1 1 0 0 8 6 -
G. Johnson 13 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
R. Barnes 10 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 0 0 -
G. Hemsley 8 1-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 2 0 2 3 -
R. Stokes 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter