Model Predictions
| Model | UCF Knights | Marshall Thundering Herd | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 49.8% | 50.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 42.2% | 57.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 49.6% | 50.4% | +0.1 | ✓ (4.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 54.0% | 46.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 62.8% | 37.2% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 62.9% | 37.1% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 50.8% | 49.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Marshall Thundering Herd +5 (71-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UCF Knights
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. O'Donnell | 39 | 7-19 | 4-16 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 6 | - |
| Jj Taylor | 31 | 4-13 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 2 | - |
| D. Noel | 30 | 4-7 | 2-3 | 4-4 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 18 | - |
| T. Davis | 25 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| S. Billings | 19 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3 | - |
| C. Cartwright | 18 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - |
| M. Battle | 14 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 8 | - |
| K. Zondervan | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | - |
| J. Yotio | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - |
| T. Young | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
Marshall Thundering Herd
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Humphrey | 37 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 11 | - |
| T. Wilkerson | 36 | 8-11 | 1-2 | 5-7 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 22 | 27 | - |
| P. Altidor-Cespedes | 32 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | - |
| M. Dorris | 31 | 3-11 | 0-4 | 12-15 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 17 | - |
| T. Baines | 26 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 6 | - |
| D. Merthie | 17 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | -5 | - |
| T. Marshall | 12 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - |
| R. Jackson | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
| A. Williams | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter