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New Mexico Lobos 72
@
Utah Utes 71
2008-02-23

Model Predictions

Model New Mexico Lobos Utah Utes Spread Result
Elo 66.7% 33.3% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 42.0% 58.0% - ✗
Margin 32.0% 68.0% +4.1 ✗ (5.1 off)
Pythagorean 57.0% 43.0% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 81.5% 18.5% - ✓
Log Adjusted 81.7% 18.3% - ✓

Actual: Utah Utes -1 (71-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.

New Mexico Lobos

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J.R. Giddens 35 9-19 1-2 0-3 7 2 2 0 2 19 9 -
R. Martinez 27 3-7 0-2 0-0 5 3 1 0 0 6 8 -
C. Toppert 26 3-5 3-4 0-0 3 2 0 0 0 9 9 -
D. Faris 25 1-6 0-0 3-5 4 1 3 1 1 5 7 -
D. Gary 24 2-7 1-2 1-2 2 2 0 0 2 6 1 -
J. Smith 20 3-5 2-2 9-11 4 2 0 0 1 17 17 -
D. Prentice 16 3-4 1-2 3-3 0 2 0 0 0 10 8 -
J. Harris 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
M. Pegues 9 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -
J. Wills 9 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -

Utah Utes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Green 34 3-7 3-7 0-0 9 2 0 0 0 9 13 -
L. Borha 31 3-5 0-0 2-3 3 3 0 0 4 8 5 -
J. Bryant 28 3-7 2-5 9-9 2 0 1 0 1 17 12 -
L. Drca 27 1-4 0-3 1-2 1 6 0 0 3 3 3 -
L. Nevill 25 6-7 0-0 4-6 5 2 0 0 0 16 16 -
T. Kepkay 24 3-6 1-1 2-2 8 3 1 0 5 9 10 -
K. Tillie 17 3-4 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 6 5 -
C. Brown 11 0-2 0-0 3-6 0 1 0 0 1 3 1 -
M. Grim 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter