Model Predictions
| Model | Long Beach State Beach | New Mexico State Aggies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 5.5% | 94.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 11.0% | 89.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 2.2% | 97.8% | +20.8 | ✓ (11.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 15.1% | 84.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 14.4% | 85.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: New Mexico State Aggies +32 (80-48). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Long Beach State Beach
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G. Plater | 31 | 2-7 | 2-7 | 3-4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 3 | - |
| D. Morris | 30 | 3-16 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 9 | -5 | - |
| M. Clady | 29 | 0-5 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -4 | - |
| A. Lazdauskas | 21 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5 | - |
| C. Williams | 19 | 4-8 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 5 | - |
| B. Johnson | 16 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | - |
| L. Heard | 12 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 3 | - |
| B. Freeman | 12 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - |
| B. Gallow | 11 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| A. Fleming | 11 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| C. Peys | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
New Mexico State Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Gibson | 30 | 2-11 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -3 | - |
| J. Hawkins | 27 | 5-12 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 8 | - |
| H. Passos | 26 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 11 | - |
| F. Peete | 25 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 11 | - |
| J. Young | 23 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 2 | - |
| W. McKines | 23 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 11 | - |
| H. Pope | 17 | 6-10 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 8 | - |
| M. Iti | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 10 | - |
| J. Luster | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| G. Castillo | 7 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| T. Steward | 3 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| T. Britt | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter