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2008-02-23

Model Predictions

Model Illinois Fighting Illini Michigan Wolverines Spread Result
Elo 50.1% 49.9% -
Bradley-Terry 33.4% 66.6% -
Margin 21.2% 78.8% +7.2 (1.2 off)
Pythagorean 55.5% 44.5% -
Efficiency 82.7% 17.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 81.2% 18.8% -
Log Adjusted 81.4% 18.6% -

Actual: Michigan Wolverines +6 (49-43). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Illinois Fighting Illini

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. McCamey 38 1-7 1-4 0-0 8 5 2 0 4 3 7 -
C. Frazier 36 4-10 1-3 0-1 5 1 0 0 1 9 4 -
T. Meacham 33 4-9 2-5 1-2 3 1 0 0 2 11 4 -
S. Pruitt 29 2-6 0-0 2-2 4 0 1 0 5 6 0 -
C. Brock 27 4-7 2-4 2-4 7 3 1 2 0 12 18 -
R. Alexander 17 0-3 0-3 0-0 5 0 0 0 0 0 2 -
M. Tisdale 11 1-4 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 -2 -
J. Jordan 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 0 -1 -
M. Davis 4 0-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -

Michigan Wolverines

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Harris 35 4-14 1-3 5-6 6 4 2 0 3 14 9 -
K. Grady 34 4-10 2-5 2-2 4 1 0 0 0 12 7 -
D. Sims 32 2-11 1-4 2-2 9 2 1 0 2 7 6 -
A. Wright 31 2-10 1-7 0-0 8 0 0 0 1 5 2 -
E. Udoh 30 3-6 0-0 1-2 7 1 2 5 1 7 15 -
C.J. Lee 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 2 -
Z. Gibson 10 1-4 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 2 0 -
R. Coleman 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -
J. Shepherd 8 1-1 0-0 0-1 1 0 0 1 1 2 2 -

* = starter