Model Predictions
| Model | Iowa Hawkeyes | Michigan State Spartans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 11.7% | 88.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 31.5% | 68.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 24.3% | 75.7% | +6.3 | ✓ (7.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 32.0% | 68.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 4.9% | 95.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 4.8% | 95.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Michigan State Spartans +14 (66-52). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Iowa Hawkeyes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Gorney | 36 | 3-9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 1 | - |
| J. Johnson | 36 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
| T. Freeman | 32 | 1-6 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| C. Tate | 32 | 10-13 | 0-0 | 6-7 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 26 | 22 | - |
| J. Kelly | 31 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 6 | - |
| J. Peterson | 21 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | -1 | - |
| K. Looby | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - |
| D. Palmer | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| D. Bohall | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Neitzel | 28 | 4-15 | 3-10 | 1-1 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 4 | - |
| D. Naymick | 26 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 10 | - |
| T. Walton | 25 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| G. Suton | 23 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | - |
| K. Lucas | 23 | 4-10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 2 | - |
| R. Morgan | 20 | 6-6 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 15 | - |
| C. Allen | 17 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | - |
| D. Summers | 15 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| M. Gray | 13 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 8 | - |
| T. Herzog | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| I. Dahlman | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| M. Kebler | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| I. Ibok | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| J. Crandell | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter