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2008-02-23

Model Predictions

Model Arkansas Razorbacks Kentucky Wildcats Spread Result
Elo 29.0% 71.0% -
Bradley-Terry 25.3% 74.7% -
Margin 15.8% 84.2% +9.2 (4.2 off)
Pythagorean 53.3% 46.7% -
Efficiency 89.1% 10.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 62.3% 37.7% -
Log Adjusted 62.7% 37.3% -

Actual: Kentucky Wildcats +5 (63-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Arkansas Razorbacks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
P. Beverley 37 1-8 1-5 1-2 6 4 0 0 4 4 2 -
S. Weems 32 10-20 3-6 3-4 3 2 2 1 1 26 13 -
G. Ervin 28 3-6 2-2 0-0 0 2 1 0 1 8 4 -
C. Thomas 24 2-4 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 0 4 4 1 -
D. Townes 22 1-4 0-0 4-4 5 1 0 1 0 6 9 -
S. Hill 18 0-0 0-0 1-2 3 0 1 1 0 1 6 -
S. Welsh 17 2-3 1-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 5 2 -
M. Washington 16 1-2 1-2 0-0 1 0 0 2 1 3 3 -
V. Hunter 6 0-1 0-1 1-2 0 0 0 1 0 1 1 -

Kentucky Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
P. Patterson 40 5-11 0-0 4-6 11 0 1 0 2 14 13 -
R. Bradley 39 4-12 0-3 10-12 4 5 1 0 2 18 14 -
J. Crawford 35 6-13 2-5 4-6 3 0 0 0 3 18 5 -
P. Stevenson 32 3-6 0-0 2-2 7 0 1 0 2 8 8 -
D. Jasper 29 2-6 1-1 0-1 5 1 2 0 1 5 6 -
R. Harris 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 0 2 0 3 -
M. Coury 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
A.J. Stewart 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
M. Porter 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter